Bloomberg Surveillance

Stocks Get Tech Lift as US Yields Fall on Soft CPI

20 snips
Dec 18, 2025
Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, breaks down the surprising November CPI report, hinting that inflation may bounce back sooner than expected. Emily Rowland, Co-Chief Investment Strategist at Manulife/John Hancock, advocates for a bullish outlook on U.S. equities, driven by AI adoption and strong earnings. Dan Ives, Global Head of Tech Research at Wedbush, discusses the implications of the Trump Media-TAE fusion deal, emphasizing its potential to accelerate fusion technology and AI monetization.
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INSIGHT

CPI Print Likely Understates Inflation

  • The November CPI print contains substantial sampling and timing errors that likely made inflation look artificially weak.
  • Stephanie Roth expects a bounce back in December and cautions against treating this print as definitive disinflation.
INSIGHT

Labor Market Showing Hidden Strength

  • The labor market is holding up and may be inflecting higher despite headline noise from government programs.
  • Private payrolls show decent gains, suggesting underlying resilience that could keep the Fed on hold early next year.
ADVICE

Rotate Back Toward Quality And Income

  • Participate in quality US stocks because profits drive long-term returns even after momentum-driven years.
  • Lean into dividend growers and high-quality bonds as income becomes more attractive relative to low S&P yields.
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