Sea Control Sea Control 566: No One Should Think the War Will be Short with CDR Justin Cobb
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Mar 8, 2025 
In this engaging discussion, CDR Justin Cobb, a Maritime Fires Officer and seasoned rotary-wing aviator, tackles the complexities of potential conflict between the U.S. and China over Taiwan. He warns against the dangers of underestimating the length and intensity of modern warfare, drawing insights from historical conflicts like Ukraine. Cobb calls for reforms in military readiness to address inefficient structures while advocating for a balanced strategy between military deterrence and diplomacy. His passion for debate and future writing projects adds an exciting layer to the conversation.
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High Stakes Prevent Short War
- Commander Justin Cobb believes a conflict with China can't be short due to high stakes.
- Both nations have vital interests and reputations tied to the outcome, making a limited war unlikely.
Risks of Short-War Focus
- Focusing on a short war creates risks, like designing a force for a specific operational problem.
- This can lead to missing the bigger strategic picture and neglecting long-term capabilities.
Denial Strategy as a Maginot Line
- A short-war focus leads to a denial strategy, prioritizing exquisite capabilities over strategic depth.
- This neglects personnel, reconstitution, and long-term sustainability, resembling a Maginot Line.
