February 18, 2025: Who holds the keys to Ukraine‘s future?
Feb 18, 2025
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Robbie Gramer, a national security reporter for POLITICO, shares his insights on the crucial meeting happening in Saudi Arabia where U.S. and Russian officials are crafting a peace plan for Ukraine—without Ukrainian representation. He reveals the shifting dynamics in negotiations that have sidelined Ukrainian voices and raised concerns among European allies. Gramer also delves into the complexities of U.S.-Russia relations, discussing whether a new diplomatic approach can effectively manage the unpredictable nature of Putin's strategies.
The absence of Ukrainian officials in U.S.-Russia peace talks raises concerns about the legitimacy and consequences of a negotiated peace plan.
Critics worry that the current U.S. administration's approach to resetting relations with Russia may only enhance Russia's public image without achieving real progress.
Deep dives
Key Developments in U.S.-Russia Talks
High-level discussions between U.S. and Russian officials in Saudi Arabia are focused on potentially ending the ongoing war in Ukraine. These talks highlight the complex geopolitical landscape, particularly as Ukraine is notably absent from negotiations regarding its own future. The U.S. aims to reset its relationship with Russia while facing criticism for sidelining Ukraine, raising concerns about the implications of a peace deal negotiated without their involvement. The ambiguity surrounding the U.S. administration's position has led to anxiety among European allies regarding the sincerity and potential outcomes of these discussions.
Mixed Messages on Ukraine's Role
The U.S. government faces scrutiny over its approach to peace talks, as contradictory messages emerge regarding Ukraine's involvement. While some administration officials assert that Ukraine will play a role in future negotiations, there is still skepticism about how directly they will be involved in the initial stages of discussions. Critics argue that negotiating behind Ukraine's back could undermine their position and lead to unfavorable concessions. This lack of clarity has left both U.S. lawmakers and European partners uncertain about the administration's true intentions and strategy moving forward.
Historical Challenges in U.S.-Russia Relations
Previous U.S. administrations have struggled to reset relations with Russia, often finding that such efforts fail to yield significant results. Analysts suggest that the unpredictability of both Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump complicates the potential for effective negotiations. Critics within Europe express concern that recent approaches may serve as a public relations victory for Russia, rather than achieving substantive peace. The caution surrounding these talks indicates a wariness born from historical failures, highlighting the difficulties of engaging Russia in meaningful dialogue.
The biggest story in Washington today isn’t even in Washington. Today, top officials from the U.S. and Russia will meet in Saudi Arabia to talk about a future peace plan for Ukraine. But, officials from Ukraine will be missing at the table. National security reporter Robbie Gramer joins chief Playbook correspondent Eugene Daniels to discuss how this is playing with Europe and the weekend’s Munich Security Conference.
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