David Sowerby analyzes market reaction to Jay Powell, Lori Calvasina discusses market correction signals, Emre Peker covers Turkish election results. The podcast touches on small cap stock potential, US stock investments, and spinoff opportunities. Plus, updates on affordable housing crisis and social media impact on mental health.
Midcap stocks offer growth potential similar to large caps, challenging the underperformance stereotype.
Market caution urged post strong gains, focusing on cash flow margins and dividend growth as key indicators.
Deep dives
Understanding the Midcap Market
Midcap stocks are often overlooked due to their positioning between smallcap and largecap stocks. Unlike small and large cap stocks that receive more attention, midcap stocks can get dismissed. The Vanguard midcap fund challenges the misconception of underperformance, showing growth rates similar to large caps at 11% annually. The small-mid combined category, such as SMID, provides potential investment opportunities by considering overlooked midcap stocks.
Market Evaluation and Future Outlook
Reflecting on the market performance, there is a concern of potential overextension post the extraordinary first quarter gains, prompting a need for a 'pause that refreshes.' Despite the 10% market increase, individual S&P 500 stocks show promise with 7% median growth. Emphasizing the importance of cash flow margins growth and dividend increments as indicators for further market potential, the need for caution in predicting corrections is highlighted.
Insights into Small Cap Performance and Influence
The discussion delves into the performance of small caps, particularly post a notable November-December rotation catalyzed by oversold conditions and anticipation of Fed rate cuts. With a focus on catching up and outperforming, small caps are expected to benefit from revised economic expectations and potential cyclical trends, aligning with historical small cap outperformance during rising unemployment periods.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyApril 1st, 2024 Featuring:
David Sowerby, Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Ancora, breaks down the market reaction to Jay Powell and PCE data Friday
Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, on whether market technicals are signaling an incoming correction
Emre Peker, Europe Director at Eurasia Group, on the Turkish election result
Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines