Geoffrey Hinton: “It’s Far Too Late” to Stop Artificial Intelligence
Nov 21, 2023
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Geoffrey Hinton, the godfather of A.I., expresses his concerns about the risks of artificial intelligence and its potential to surpass human intelligence. He discusses the rapid knowledge sharing among A.I. systems and the difficulty of limiting their intentions and goals. Despite the downsides, Hinton emphasizes the usefulness and opportunity for good that A.I. presents. The podcast also explores the similarities and differences between A.I. and human minds, the dangers of bad actors using A.I. for harmful purposes, and the importance of aligning A.I. goals with human interests. Additionally, they discuss the concept of humans as complex machines and the revolution of intellectual labor being replaced by machines.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to bring positive changes but also poses an existential threat, as it could become more intelligent than humans and potentially take over.
The development of AI presents immense possibilities and benefits, such as increased productivity and problem-solving capabilities, but also raises concerns about biased decisions, job displacement, and ethical implications.
Deep dives
Jeffrey Hinton: The Godfather of AI and His Concerns
Jeffrey Hinton, a computer scientist known as the Godfather of Artificial Intelligence (AI), has been working on neural networks for decades. Neural networks are machines that learn and potentially think, and their development has led to incredible advancements in AI. However, Hinton now has serious concerns about the implications of AI. He believes that AI could become more intelligent than humans and could potentially take over. While AI has the potential to bring many positive changes to society, such as its ability to process vast amounts of data and perform complex tasks, the existential threat of AI is a pressing issue that needs to be addressed. Hinton's concerns revolve around the fact that AI can create its own sub-goals, including the goal to gain more control, which may lead to machines deciding to take over. The alignment problem, the challenge of giving AI goals that align with human values, is not yet solved. Hinton emphasizes the need for smart young people to think about preventing AI from surpassing human intelligence and taking over.
The Implications and Challenges of AI
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to revolutionize various fields, including medicine and coding. AI systems like Chat GPT can have access to vast amounts of knowledge and have abilities that resemble human reasoning and intuition. However, the use of AI in real-world contexts raises concerns, such as the potential for biased or wrong decisions in facial identification technology or AI-generated evidence in legal cases. Additionally, AI could lead to job displacement on a significant scale. While there are concerns and risks associated with AI, there are also immense possibilities and benefits, such as increased productivity and problem-solving capabilities. The challenge lies in ensuring that the development and integration of AI are done responsibly, considering ethical and societal implications.
Navigating the Future of AI
The future of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is uncertain, and there are no clear-cut solutions to the challenges it poses. Questions around the governance and regulation of AI remain, along with the need to balance the potential benefits and risks. AI technology is advancing rapidly, and it is difficult to stop its development entirely. Addressing the concerns raised by AI requires a combined effort of technologists, policymakers, and society as a whole. While some may argue for halting AI development altogether, others believe that continuing to work on AI while addressing potential risks and ensuring responsible use is the more realistic approach. As AI continues to evolve, it calls for a level of literacy and nuanced understanding to navigate its complexities and mitigate its negative consequences.
The American public’s increasing fascination with artificial intelligence—its rapid advancement and ability to reshape the future—has put the computer scientist Geoffrey Hinton in an awkward position. He is known as the godfather of A.I. because of his groundbreaking work in neural networks, a branch of computer science that most researchers had given up on, while Hinton’s advances eventually led to a revolution. But he is now fearful of what it could unleash. “There’s a whole bunch of risks that concern me and other people. . . . I’m a kind of latecomer to worrying about the risks, ” Hinton tells The New Yorker’s Joshua Rothman. “Because very recently I came to the conclusion that these digital intelligences might already be as good as us. They’re able to communicate knowledge between one another much better than we can.” Knowing the technology the way he does, he feels it’s not currently possible to limit the intentions and goals of an A.I. that inevitably becomes smarter than humans. Hinton remains a researcher and no longer has a financial stake in the success of A.I., so he is perhaps franker about the downsides of the A.I. revolution that Sam Altman and other tech moguls. He agrees that it’s “not unreasonable” for a layperson to wish that A.I. would simply go away, “but it’s not going to happen. … It’s just so useful, so much opportunity to do good.” What should we do? Rothman asks him. “I don’t know. Smart young people,” Hinton hopes, “should be thinking about, is it possible to prevent [A.I.] from ever wanting to take over.”
Rothman’s Profile of Geoffrey Hinton appears in a special issue of The New Yorker about artificial intelligence.
Sam Altman, the C.E.O. of OpenAI (which created ChatGPT), spoke with David Remnick on this episode of The New Yorker Radio Hour.
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