Supply Shock cover image

Supply Shock

A Bitcoin ETF Is Coming, It's Just A Matter Of When | Charles Edwards

Aug 31, 2023
Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, discusses the positive setup for Bitcoin in 2024. They explore indicators like on chain data, Bitcoin's halving schedule, and Grayscale's win vs the SEC. The relationship between liquidity conditions and Bitcoin price, the potential impact of crises, and the bullish setup for Bitcoin in 2024 are also discussed.
39:15

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Each Bitcoin cycle has seen diminishing volatility and returns, but the next one or two cycles could still exhibit volatility and deliver substantial upside returns, especially considering the adoption cycle and potential ETF approvals.
  • Monitoring both fundamental indicators and market sentiment is important in assessing Bitcoin's market outlook, and the current market provides a favorable risk-reward opportunity for long-term investors.

Deep dives

The Three Factor Model for Equity Valuation

Charles Edwards, founder at Capriole Investments, discusses his three-factor model for valuation in equity markets. The model considers GDP, money supply, and interest rates as key drivers of asset prices. According to Edwards, this model has explained 90% of the returns in equity markets over the past 50 years. Currently, the model suggests that equity markets are fairly priced, neither overvalued nor undervalued.

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