WSJ’s Take On the Year: Market Trends to Watch in 2025
Jan 5, 2025
auto_awesome
Join Aaron Back, deputy editor at WSJ's Heard on the Street, as he breaks down the tumultuous stock market landscape of 2024. He discusses the stunning rise of companies like Nvidia and Palantir, alongside the struggles of Walgreens and Moderna. The conversation transitions to what these trends mean for investors in 2025, including insights into the undervalued healthcare sector and the emerging influence of nuclear power in tech. Additionally, Aaron highlights the growing trends in sports gambling and European market recovery, setting the stage for strategic investment planning.
The remarkable growth of AI and energy companies in 2024 underscores their potential continued influence on market trends in 2025.
The challenges faced by retail and biotech sectors reveal significant vulnerabilities in the market, prompting cautious investment strategies amid economic pressures.
Deep dives
Overview of Market Winners in 2024
The stock market in 2024 saw remarkable performances from companies heavily associated with artificial intelligence (AI) and energy sectors. Palantir, for instance, emerged as a standout, increasing over 300% due to its status as a 'cult stock' among a passionate fanbase, similar to those of Tesla. Additionally, Vistra, a nuclear power provider, and NVIDIA, a key player in AI technology, also ranked among the top performers, demonstrating the demand for reliable power sources for data centers. This trend hints at a potential continuation of AI's influence well into 2025, with expectations of increased interest in AI-related investments.
Key Factors Impacting Market Performance
Several common themes among the worst-performing stocks reveal vulnerabilities within the market. Companies like Moderna struggled due to declining demand for COVID vaccines, while Dollar Tree and Walgreens faced significant losses based on their reliance on low-income consumers and the broader economic pressures affecting retail. Additionally, health insurers and tech giants like Intel experienced downturns, reflecting concerns about inflation and shifts in consumer behavior. These dynamics suggest that while certain sectors thrived, others couldn't adapt to changing market conditions, leading to stark contrasts in performance.
Anticipating Trends for 2025
Looking ahead to 2025, potential inflation shocks and the introduction of tariffs could pose challenges for the stock market, particularly impacting companies that rely on imported goods. Increased costs of goods due to tariffs might put pressure on profit margins, especially in the food sector, where companies are already cautious about raising prices after previous hikes. Meanwhile, an anticipated expansion of AI applications beyond current use cases could drive productivity gains throughout various industries. The combination of these factors indicates a complex and potentially volatile economic landscape, prompting investors to carefully consider their strategies moving forward.
AI was a big stock market theme in 2024. We’ve talked about it, and heard it many times. But it was far from the only thing that happened in stocks last year. We saw record-breaking growth from power companies like Vistra. Cult stocks like Palantir and MicroStrategy also had a moment. And of course, Nvidia, a company that needs no introduction, had a blockbuster year.
But where there are winners, there are also losers. The announcement of Walgreens’ potential sale highlighted the challenges within the retail pharmacy sector. Shares of the biotech company Moderna also slumped partly due to waning demand for its Covid-19 vaccine and booster. And discount chain Dollar Tree took a hit this year as its shoppers showed signs of belt-tightening.
For our first episode of 2025, we’re joined by global editor of WSJ’s Heard on the Street column, Spencer Jakab, and deputy editor of WSJ’s Heard on the Street, Aaron Back, to reveal more of the market’s winners and losers in 2024 and examine what their wins or losses could mean for investors and the economy in the year ahead.