The Exchange

“No Cut” Trade, 2025 Software Playbook, Out on Instacart 12/3/24

Dec 3, 2024
Discussion kicks off with the Fed's potential interest rate decisions and market impacts like the Nasdaq's highs. A strategist shares insights on mid-cap stock opportunities amidst economic resilience. The future of AI technology adoption is explored, highlighting competition among major firms. The podcast also delves into the effects of U.S. tariff policies on trade relations and examines the contrasting fortunes of tech giants. Finally, insights into municipal bonds and upcoming tax policies cap off the engaging dialogue.
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ADVICE

Trade for a Skipped Fed Cut

  • If the Fed skips a December cut, position in mid-cap stocks.
  • Mid-caps offer greater U.S. economy exposure and a larger industrial sector.
INSIGHT

S&P 500 Vulnerability

  • S&P 500 multiple expansion is sentiment-driven, creating vulnerability to a dollar strengthening.
  • 40% of S&P 500 revenues are foreign, making them susceptible to dollar fluctuations.
INSIGHT

Midwest Manufacturing Boom

  • The Midwest's manufacturing boom is an overlooked economic engine, benefiting mid-cap industrials.
  • Industrials are less sensitive to yield curve fluctuations, unlike financials.
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