The Inside Story Podcast How much influence does the EU really have on Israel?
Jun 20, 2025
In this discussion, Ellie Geranmayeh, Deputy Director of MENA Programme at the European Council on Foreign Relations, shares insights on Europe's role in Middle Eastern politics. She explores the EU's influence in the ongoing tensions with Iran and Israel, emphasizing the challenges faced in negotiating peace. The conversation also highlights how European viewpoints shape international relations and the complexities of trade relations amid human rights concerns. Together with expert opinions, they evaluate Europe's diminished role post-JCPOA and the implications for future diplomatic efforts.
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Europe's Limited Influence on U.S. Iran Policy
- Europe currently lacks strong influence on U.S. decisions regarding Iran and the Middle East.
- The U.S. remains in contact with a small group of European powers to explore negotiation options with Iran.
Europe's Waning Leverage on Iran
- Europe has lost leverage with both Washington and Tehran over the years, reducing its impact on Iran issues.
- European economic influence and ability to constrain Israeli military action have both diminished substantially.
Divided European Responses to Iran Conflict
- European leaders show divisions on responses to the conflict, ranging from strong backing of Israel to cautious warnings against regime change in Iran.
- Europe is wary of chaos from destabilization but has limited influence on U.S. strategies.