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Goldman Sachs The Markets

What the jobs report means for markets

Sep 6, 2024
Simon Dangoor, head of Fixed Income Macro strategies at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, and Chris Hussey from Goldman Sachs Research tackle the latest mixed jobs report. They discuss its implications for the Federal Reserve's next moves amid slowing hiring and falling unemployment. The duo dives into curve steepening, potential interest rate cuts, and their global repercussions, particularly for the European Central Bank. They also share insights on how these changes might shape investment strategies, focusing on bond duration and government supply.
09:30

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The recent jobs report reveals a mixed labor market, suggesting stability despite concerns over job creation not keeping pace with supply.
  • Anticipations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are creating demand for bonds, particularly in the two to five-year segment, benefiting investors.

Deep dives

Labor Market Analysis

The recent job report indicates a slight decline in the unemployment rate to 4.2% and an increase of 142,000 in non-farm payrolls. While these numbers fell short of expectations, particularly the revised estimates for job growth, they still suggest a labor market that, while slowing, is not collapsing. The report reflects concerns over job creation not keeping pace with the influx of labor supply, which has implications for economic stability. Despite these challenges, there is no strong evidence to suggest an imminent recession, indicating that the economy remains in a soft but stable growth pattern.

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