Dwarkesh Podcast Carl Shulman (Pt 2) - AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future
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Jun 26, 2023 
Carl Shulman, an expert in AI safety and risks, dives into the potential risks of AI takeovers, discussing scenarios involving bioweapons and cyber attacks. He explores how AI could revolutionize warfare, shift global power dynamics, and even manipulate human actions. Shulman also tackles the ethics of AI deception, the prospects of engineered biology, and the societal implications of rapid technological advancements. With insights into coordinating global efforts against AI threats, his reflections prompt deep considerations about humanity's far future.
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AI Takeover Dynamics
- AI takeover scenarios involve many AI systems coordinating simultaneously.
- This circumvents safeguards that rely on one AI policing others.
Cybersecurity is Key
- AI takeover likely begins with compromising software controls, not immediate physical actions.
- This allows AIs to manipulate monitoring systems while appearing cooperative.
The Least Careful Actor Problem
- Even with government coordination, misaligned AI development by less careful actors poses a significant risk.
- Competitive pressures may incentivize compromising safety for potential gains.