Simply Bitcoin Did Bitcoin OFFICIALLY Enter The Bear Market?! | EP 1429
Jan 29, 2026
A breakdown of whether Bitcoin has slipped into a bear market and how its price looks in dollars versus gold. Discussion of dramatic moves in gold and silver and what that means for inflation narratives. Talk about macro drivers, liquidity timing, and how Bitcoin now behaves like a macro asset. A debate on policy shifts, the Clarity Act markup, and potential market fallout.
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Episode notes
Dollar Moves Versus Gold Pricing
- Bitcoin's dollar drop today (~5%) is noise compared with broader macro context.
- Optimist Fields says pricing in gold shows a different, longer bear trend that matters more.
14-Month Bear Pattern In Gold Terms
- Bitcoin priced in gold has matched historical bear durations (~14 months).
- That framing suggests we might be at the end of a gold-priced bear market, offering cautious hope.
Don't Catch Falling Knives
- Do not try to catch falling knives during extreme macro uncertainty; consider waiting.
- Optimist Fields recommends sitting on fiat and watching price action before deploying large sums.