Novara Live Israel and Hamas Sign Gaza Ceasefire Deal
Oct 9, 2025
Trita Parsi, co-founder of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, delves into the recent Gaza ceasefire and its geopolitical ramifications. He discusses the interim humanitarian benefits and the risks of it being a mere stopgap. Parsi analyzes internal Israeli politics, Netanyahu’s motives, and the need for sustained pressure to maintain the deal's integrity. He also addresses the power imbalance regarding Hamas disarmament and reflects on shifting global perspectives on Israel. It's a nuanced conversation about conflict, diplomacy, and the path forward.
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Ceasefire vs End Of War
- If the deal stops at phase one it will only be a temporary pause, not an end to the war.
- Sustained U.S. pressure and progress to phase two are essential to prevent Israel from resuming large-scale attacks.
Internal Politics Drive Renewal Of Conflict
- Domestic Israeli politics give incentives to continue fighting even after hostages return.
- International isolation and sustained pressure could change Israeli calculations more than short-term deals.
Use Tangible Pressure, Not Just Words
- Europe should consider concrete sanctions and cultural exclusions to raise costs for Israeli escalation.
- Apply targeted penalties to test whether isolation changes Israeli behaviour.
