Episode 123: Let's Talk Risk-Reward Metrics, Being WRONG, SWAN and NTSX
Oct 27, 2021
33:55
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Topics include analyzing risk-reward metrics, corrections to SWAN modeling, using asset class analyzers, 'bracketed rebalancing', adding gold to portfolios, and examining the bond breakdown of NTSX.
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Quick takeaways
Utilizing risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe and Sortino ratios for portfolio evaluation is crucial for investment success.
Understanding the discrepancies in ETF performance compared to anticipated allocations emphasizes the necessity of analytical diligence in portfolio management.
Deep dives
Risk-Adjusted Returns through Sharpe and Sortino Ratios
Utilizing risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe and Sortino ratios for portfolio evaluation is crucial. Comparing portfolios using these metrics on a relative basis is essential due to the varying ratios for different portfolios over specific time frames. Previous episodes showcased comparisons like the Golden Butterfly versus Boglehead's Three Fund and others, indicating the Golden Butterfly's superior performance.
Analyzing the Performance of SWAN ETF
Contrary to initial estimations, the SWAN ETF behaves more like a portfolio with 45% S&P 500 and 80% intermediate-term treasuries instead of the anticipated 70-90 allocation. This disparity underscores the intricacies and potential deviations in leveraging ETF performance, highlighting the importance of vigilant analysis and adjustment to ensure alignment with intended outcomes.
Optimizing Portfolios and Rebalancing Strategies
Discussing the concept of 'bracketed rebalancing,' the email exchange delves into strategies where different portfolio sections are rebalanced at varying frequencies. While rebalancing bands for portfolios like the leveraged golden ratio are typically effective, exploring unique rebalancing approaches, like quarterly and annual intervals for different segments, showcases the versatility and customization potential in portfolio management practices.
In this episode we answer emails from Visitor 3050, Daniel, Chet, Jack, Jeff and Marc. We discuss risk-reward metrics and where to find them, corrections to modelling SWAN, using asset class analyzers, "bracketed rebalancing", adding gold to a portfolio and the bond breakdown of NTSX.