

993: Taking Advantage of Quarterback Touchdown Rates
16 snips May 27, 2025
Explore the unpredictable world of quarterback touchdown rates and their profound impact on fantasy football scoring. Discover why high touchdown rates can lead to regression in performance, urging caution when drafting players. Dive into the exciting realm of best ball leagues, where strategic player stacking can elevate your team's chances of winning big cash prizes. Get ready to rethink your fantasy strategies with insights that could turn the tides in your favor this season!
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Touchdown Variance Drives Quarterback Value
- Passing touchdowns are the key to fantasy quarterback success but come with high variance.
- Quarterbacks who run more have a more stable fantasy output since they rely less on touchdowns.
High TD Rate QBs Rarely Improve
- Quarterbacks with touchdown rates above 6% almost always regress the following year.
- Since 2011, only 4 of 44 QBs improved their touchdown rate after a 6%+ rate season.
High TD Rate Predicts Fantasy Drop
- 84% of quarterbacks with a 6%+ touchdown rate see a drop in fantasy points per game the next season.
- Regression in touchdown rate strongly correlates with decline in fantasy scoring.