E115: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Outdated? w/James Langer
Nov 26, 2024
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James Langer is the Chief Executive and Investment Officer at Redmont Wealth Advisors, specializing in small-cap value investing. He discusses why small-cap stocks are outperforming large caps, driven by market dynamics and historical trends. Langer highlights the complexity of implementing these strategies in institutional portfolios and the advantages of active management versus indexing. He also explores the critical role of governance in enhancing shareholder value and offers insights on effective portfolio analysis tools for investors.
Investing in small cap value stocks has historically provided significantly higher returns compared to large cap growth stocks, illustrating their underutilization.
An active management strategy focusing on small cap investments allows for better identification of undervalued opportunities, enhancing overall portfolio performance.
Deep dives
Historical Performance of Small Cap Value vs. Large Cap Growth
Investing in small cap value stocks since 1926 would have resulted in substantial gains, with $1 growing to $491,000 at a 14.3% annual return, compared to only $13,900 from large cap growth stocks at a 10.2% return. This demonstrates a consistent 400 basis point advantage for small cap value over large cap growth throughout nearly a century. The analysis suggests that this strategy has been underutilized, particularly among larger institutional investors who often allocate only a small percentage of their funds to small cap stocks due to challenges in deploying large sums effectively. As interest rates decline, small cap value has historically generated nearly 20% annual returns, indicating favorable conditions for this asset class.
Factors Behind Outperformance of Small Cap Value
Several key factors contribute to the outperformance of small cap value investments over large growth stocks. The higher risk associated with small cap stocks necessitates a greater expected return to compensate investors for this volatility. Moreover, the lack of analyst coverage creates inefficiencies, allowing investors to discover undervalued stocks that may have been overlooked. Additionally, small cap stocks often see mean reversion, where undervalued fundamentals eventually realign with market expectations, leading to higher returns during periods of economic expansion when small stocks tend to flourish.
Adopting an Active Management Strategy in Small Cap Investing
Implementing an active management strategy in small cap investments involves thoroughly researching and analyzing stocks to identify undervalued opportunities. While there is a tendency to rely on indexing in large caps, a thoughtful active approach can yield higher alpha generation in small cap stocks. The firm focuses on maintaining a balanced portfolio that includes a significant allocation to small cap value while minimizing exposure to large growth stocks, which have demonstrated volatility and concentration risks. Emphasizing a comprehensive asset allocation that incorporates small cap investments can lead to more robust long-term portfolio performance, especially given the historical trends of outperformance in various market conditions.
James Langer, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer at Redmont Wealth Advisors sits down with David Weisburd to discuss how Reason small cap stocks are crushing large caps, the academic approach to outperforming with small cap strategies, and the history of top stocks since 1926.
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TIMESTAMPS:
(0:00) Episode Preview
(1:04) Eugene Fama's influence and the Fama-French three-factor model
(3:14) Impact of the Fama-French model on investment strategy
(6:28) Intuition behind small cap value outperformance
(8:48) Practical application of theoretical investment strategies
(10:32) Indexing approaches: Equally weighted vs. market capitalization
(12:06) James Langer's experience and Redmond's investment strategy
(16:35) Comparing active management and indexing across market segments
(22:06) Indexing tools and active investing impacts
(24:59) Effective investment through management alignment
(28:03) Portfolio analysis and proprietary tools
(29:41) Closing remarks
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