World in 10 In Trump v Putin, Xi has the most to gain
Jul 22, 2025
Mark Galeotti, a Kremlin specialist and senior fellow at the Russi Think Tank, discusses the shifting geopolitical power dynamics with China's Xi Jinping potentially benefiting the most. He explains how Xi's nuanced military support for Russia plays a crucial role, despite China's public neutrality. Galeotti explores the transactional nature of Sino-Russian relations, suggesting that Trump’s policies could dramatically influence this intricate alliance. The conversation highlights the delicate balance of power and the unpredictable future of international diplomacy.
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Tariffs Threat Perceived as Bluff
- Trump's threat of secondary tariffs on China and others is seen by Russia as unlikely to be enforced effectively.
- The threat is powerful in theory but no one dares use it due to the potential economic fallout.
China Gains from Prolonged War
- The ongoing Ukraine war benefits China by keeping Western focus on Europe, away from the Pacific.
- Russia becomes more economically dependent on China the longer sanctions persist, increasing China's influence.
China's Subtle Military Support
- China's military support for Russia is limited and largely indirect, focusing on dual-use technologies.
- Chinese equipment and materials are used by Russian forces, but Beijing maintains a stance of official neutrality.