The Fin

Election 2025: The Trump slump and Dutton's 'ham-fisted' backflip

Apr 8, 2025
Lidija Ivanovski, a former Labor advisor and AFR columnist, and Paul Karp, NSW political correspondent, dive into the shifting political landscape as the 2025 elections loom. They discuss how Trump's tariff decisions have unexpectedly reshaped campaign strategies, influencing voter sentiment and betting markets. The pair analyze the Liberal Party's challenges and Labor's rising momentum in polls. They touch on the significance of local engagement and forecast the impact of upcoming debates and campaign tactics on election outcomes.
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ADVICE

Swift Policy Response

  • Address potentially controversial policies swiftly to minimize negative impact.
  • Dutton's delayed response to the work-from-home policy worsened the situation.
ANECDOTE

The Art of the Backflip

  • Peter Beattie successfully turned policy backflips into positive PR by quickly responding to public disapproval and appearing to listen.
  • Dutton's handling of the work-from-home policy contrasts sharply, demonstrating a lack of similar political maneuvering.
INSIGHT

Muslim Vote Mobilization

  • Muslim communities are mobilizing independent candidates in key Labor seats.
  • Their focus on Israel's actions in Gaza might not resonate with voters prioritizing cost of living concerns.
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