The Fin
Election 2025: The Trump slump and Dutton's 'ham-fisted' backflip
Apr 8, 2025
Lidija Ivanovski, a former Labor advisor and AFR columnist, and Paul Karp, NSW political correspondent, dive into the shifting political landscape as the 2025 elections loom. They discuss how Trump's tariff decisions have unexpectedly reshaped campaign strategies, influencing voter sentiment and betting markets. The pair analyze the Liberal Party's challenges and Labor's rising momentum in polls. They touch on the significance of local engagement and forecast the impact of upcoming debates and campaign tactics on election outcomes.
33:08
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Quick takeaways
- Trump's tariff decisions have significantly influenced the political landscape, favoring the Labor Party amidst rising economic uncertainty.
- Peter Dutton's misstep on work-from-home policies underscores his disconnect with voter preferences, impacting his campaign negatively and alienating key demographics.
Deep dives
Economic Uncertainty and Incumbency
The ongoing economic uncertainty, intensified by external factors like Donald Trump's tariff decisions, has significantly influenced the political landscape as the election approaches. Voters often lean towards the incumbent government during times of crisis, making the situation currently more favorable for the Labor Party led by Albanese. The opposition, while attempting to reframe the narrative, struggles to regain control, especially as the perception of economic management becomes increasingly crucial for voters. With rate cuts potentially on the horizon, the Labor Party is expected to benefit from optimistic sentiments surrounding these possible economic shifts.
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