Just-in-time reaction function

Royce and Ian discuss the latest Fed announcement and how some of the accompanying projections seemed inconsistent with others. They talk about why the new forecasts could be subject to more change than usual, and how that fits in with the Fed’s new reaction function. They conclude that this leaves more room for markets to ‘fight the Fed’ dot-plot than in the previous cycle. The conversation then moves on to an analysis of the relative timing and magnitude of Bank of Canada and Fed rate hikes priced into markets. Royce asks Ian whether he expects any hints about BoC tapering from Deputy Governor Gravelle in next week’s speech. Ian closes the show with a final question about Canada’s housing market, seemingly unrelated to the rest of the episode.