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Morning Wire

China's Economic Challenges & Global Trade Impact | Saturday Extra

Sep 9, 2023
11:33
Snipd AI
China's transition to a high-tech economy, challenges in the real estate market, analysis of the market and political control, impact of declining Chinese exports on global trade, potential countries to benefit if China loses influence, China's economic growth and dominance, Xi Jinping's absence from G20 meetings
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Quick takeaways

  • China is transitioning from a low-skilled heavy industry to a high-tech industry economy, reducing the importance of the property sector and shifting investment to high-tech sectors.
  • Contrary to perception, China has been reshuffling trade flows and exploring markets in countries like Vietnam, Mexico, Brazil, and India, making reducing dependence on China's exports challenging without substantial investments in industrial capacity.

Deep dives

China's Economic Transition and Real Estate Market

China is undergoing an economic transition, shifting from a low-skilled heavy industry to a high-tech industry economy. This transition has reduced the importance of the property sector, which previously accounted for 25% of GDP. As a result, the government has implemented measures to squeeze the property market, such as cutting off credit and imposing restrictions on home buyers. While the transition is causing disruptions and pain, there is no financial crisis in China. The government's long-term goal is to shift investment to high-tech sectors to address declining workforce and boost productivity.

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