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Let's take a hard look at that GDP growth

16 snips
Jul 30, 2025
U.S. GDP growth appears strong, but the reality is muddled by tariff chaos. The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates despite dissenting voices. Meanwhile, crypto firms push for stablecoins to transform into a primary payment method. Local businesses grapple with the financial strain of tariffs, like a violin shop trying to keep prices affordable. Additionally, rising tariffs on Brazilian imports lead to higher coffee prices, while some products remain unaffected. It’s a complex economic landscape filled with challenges and opportunities.
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INSIGHT

Trade Chaos Masks GDP Growth

  • The apparent 3% GDP growth in Q2 2025 is misleading due to trade disruption effects, especially tariff-induced import fluctuations.
  • Adjusted for this trade chaos, core economic growth shows signs of slowing, particularly in housing and energy sectors.
ANECDOTE

Tariffs Impact Small Violin Shop

  • Wesley Rule of Knoxville Fine Violins shares how tariffs increased their supply costs by about 30%, yet they kept affordable instruments priced low for low-income families.
  • They also plan programs to reduce rental costs and stockpile materials ahead of new India tariffs affecting production.
INSIGHT

Need for Economic Statecraft Discipline

  • Economic statecraft is intensifying due to heightened geopolitical rivalry, shifting conflict from military to economic arenas.
  • The U.S. must improve discipline and legitimacy in using economic tools rather than relying on unpredictable or chaotic tactics.
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