Bloomberg Surveillance

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Liz Ann Sonders & Joe Lavorgna

Mar 24, 2025
Dive into insightful investment strategies that shape today’s market. Discover how asset classes like stocks and cryptocurrencies are evolving in the financial landscape. Explore the importance of price-to-earnings ratios in equity discussions. Get a grip on how declining immigration could impact the economy and non-farm payrolls. This compelling conversation offers a fresh perspective on economic trends and opportunities.
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INSIGHT

P/E Ratio Dynamics

  • Liz Ann Sonders brilliantly explains price-to-earnings ratios, emphasizing the importance of analyzing both the numerator (price) and the denominator (earnings).
  • She highlights that focusing on the dynamic interplay between these two components offers a more nuanced understanding than simply looking at a static ratio.
INSIGHT

Unemployment and Growth

  • Joe LaVorgna discusses the unemployment rate, suggesting that a significant increase would require a pessimistic outlook on economic growth.
  • He also mentions Okun's law, which describes the relationship between potential GDP and actual economic performance.
INSIGHT

Immigration and Non-Farm Payrolls

  • Tom Keene highlights research from Torsten Schlock at Apollo Global Management concerning declining immigration's impact on non-farm payrolls.
  • The research suggests a new run rate of 60,000, significantly lower than the conventional 150,000.
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