What does 2025 have in store for investors? Join us as we dive deep into the markets, macroeconomics, and the evolving landscape of risk and opportunity with Aahan Menon, Founder and CEO of Prometheus Research. In this special kickoff-to-2025 episode of Raise Your Average, Aahan breaks down his systematic and probabilistic approach to navigating today’s unpredictable economic environment, shares his investment outlook, as well as asset allocation. You may be surprised.

Key Insights:

Macro Trends for 2025: How growth, inflation, and interest rates are setting the stage for the year ahead.

Managing Risk: Why a systematic framework is essential in a time of elevated uncertainty.

Market Narratives Unpacked: The disconnects between popular sentiment and economic data.

Probabilities, Not Predictions: How Prometheus Research quantifies risk and uncovers market opportunities in real time.

Actionable Takeaways: Prometheus' 4 ETF portfolio model, for investors looking to stay ahead of the curve in a rapidly shifting environment.

Quote of the Episode: "Investing today isn’t about certainty—it’s about managing probabilities in a world of growing complexity." – Aahan Menon

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome

01:19 Ahan Menon's Investment Framework

01:58 Market Dynamics and 2024 Review

05:48 Economic Indicators and Forecasts

10:21 Interest Rates and Economic Impact

24:51 Liquidity Conditions and Market Implications

46:52 Manufacturing Sector Challenges

53:15 Challenges in the Manufacturing Sector

53:26 Impact of Borrowing and Leverage

53:58 Wage Costs and Interest Burden

54:46 Investment and Borrowing Trends

56:10 Commodity Market Dynamics

58:02 Alpha Portfolio Strategies

01:01:38 Manufacturing and Economic Growth

01:03:53 Recession Indicators and Economic Slowdown

01:11:29 Real Estate Sector Analysis

01:17:14 Signal Strength and Portfolio Allocation

01:21:34 Bond Market Insights

01:31:58 Commodity Market Outlook

01:36:12 Asset Allocation - What to do now

01:43:40 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Stay Ahead of the Curve:

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Connect with Us:

Follow Aahan Menon on Linkedin

Prometheus Research on Substack

ReSolve Asset Management

Mike Philbrick on Linkedin

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