Flutter's CEO discusses plans for an IPO next year and the growth of sports betting. IWG CEO talks hybrid work model. Bloomberg editors explore Anduril's fighter jet device. Market outlook includes AI and trusted data, expectations for equities and international markets.
The burgeoning business of sports betting is attracting interest, with gambling platform Flutter planning an IPO next year.
The recent rally in the market indicates a closure of the performance gap between tech stocks and other sectors, potentially leading to a rotation into sectors that have been lagging, such as small caps, mid caps, and international stocks.
Deep dives
The Shift from Interest Rates to a Tailwind
The most important theme for next year is the shift from interest rates being the problem to a tailwind. The market is predicting that the Federal Reserve may cut rates sooner than expected, and if inflation remains soft and economic activity slows down, it could prompt the Fed to take action. This shift is expected to benefit cyclical sectors such as small caps, mid caps, and international stocks, as well as value stocks, which have been lagging behind. Tech stocks, particularly the Magnificent Seven, may continue to perform well, but most of the returns may already be priced in by the time the first rate cut occurs.
Broadening Rally and Rotation
The recent rally in the market has been broad-based, with the S&P 500, Russell 2000, equal-weighted S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all performing well. This indicates a closure of the gap between the performance of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks and other sectors. Looking ahead, if the economy continues to avoid a recession and experiences a soft landing, there may be a rotation into sectors that have been lagging, such as small caps, mid caps, and international stocks.
Tech Stocks and Concentration
Tech stocks, particularly high-priced stocks like those in the Magnificent Seven, may see further upside potential in the near term due to the expectation of rate cuts. However, investors need to be aware of the concentration risk associated with these stocks, as they make up a significant portion of the market and any negative news or poor performance could have a significant impact. Diversification may be important for investors looking to mitigate this risk.
Opportunities in Emerging Markets and International Stocks
As rotation from tech stocks occurs, investors may find opportunities in international stocks and emerging markets. Developed international stocks may benefit from a weaker US dollar, while emerging markets could also see some interest. It is important to consider the potential impact of currency fluctuations and geopolitical factors when investing in international markets.
Peter Jackson, CEO of Flutter discusses the burgeoning business of sports betting. Mark Dixon, CEO and Founder of IWG talks about the growth of the hybrid work model. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Technology Managing Editor Mark Milian discuss Anduril's tiny, reusable fighter jet. And we Drive to the Close with Jimmy Lee, CEO at Wealth Consulting Group.