HSBC Global Viewpoint
The Macro Brief – Risks and equity markets
Nov 10, 2023
This podcast explores the risks and their impact on equity markets, with a focus on geopolitical risks, inflation, and a potential China slowdown. It discusses methods for identifying and pricing new risks in the market, and emphasizes the importance of assessing what risks are already factored into valuations. The chapter also highlights the current state of the global economy and geopolitical landscape, mentioning Taiwanese equities outperforming in the election season.
10:50
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Quick takeaways
- Geopolitical risks, sticky inflation, and a potential China slowdown are key concerns for investors in equity markets.
- Analyzing spillover effects, valuations, and machine learning models helps determine the significance of priced-in risks.
Deep dives
Top Risks for Investors
The podcast discusses three key risks that investors should be concerned about. The first is geopolitical risks, including tensions in the Middle East and US-China tensions. The second risk is a higher for longer environment with sticky inflation, which could negatively impact equities. Lastly, there is a potential for a sharper China slowdown, with downside risks related to the housing market and its impact on consumption.
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