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Bloomberg Talks

Robert Kaplan Talks Interest Rates, Inflation and Elections

Jul 18, 2024
Former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Robert Kaplan, predicts interest rate cuts in September and discusses the impact of elections on Fed decisions. Analysis includes topics like fiscal spending, inflation, pandemic effects, and challenges facing the Bank of Japan.
09:48

Episode guests

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Quick takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates in September due to progress on inflation, but it may not signal a full rate-cutting cycle.
  • Rob Kaplan emphasizes the importance of monitoring policies like immigration and tariffs, highlighting uncertainties in future fiscal decisions affecting the Fed's trajectory.

Deep dives

Impacts of U.S. Elections and Trade Tensions on Fed's Rate Path with Rob Kaplan

Rob Kaplan, Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs, discusses the potential impact of the U.S. elections and trade tensions with China on the Federal Reserve's rate path. Kaplan anticipates a rate cut in September regardless of the political climate, emphasizing the need for the Fed to navigate issues such as globalization, energy transition, and fiscal spending. He stresses the importance of monitoring policies like immigration and tariffs, highlighting the uncertainties surrounding future fiscal decisions and their influence on the Fed's trajectory.

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