State of the World from NPR What is the Future of the Israel-Iran War and Will the U.S. Get Involved?
Jun 17, 2025
Tensions between Israel and Iran are escalating, with residents in Tehran facing chaos and uncertainty. Expert analysis delves into the historical shift from previous amicability to current enmity post-1979. The complex dynamics highlight Israel's military strategies and the challenges Iran faces from both internal dissent and ongoing conflicts. In neighboring Lebanon and Jordan, stories of resilience emerge, showcasing how people cope with the turmoil through music and community efforts despite missile threats overhead.
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Tehran Evacuations and Chaos
- People in Tehran fled after President Trump warned them on social media to evacuate due to the escalating conflict with Israel.
- Gas stations had long lines, and traffic jams made leaving difficult or impossible, illustrating public panic and disruption.
Ideological Roots of Conflict
- The Israel-Iran conflict is ideological rather than territorial, rooted in Iran's post-1979 policy to eradicate Israel.
- Historically, Iran and Israel had cordial relations before the Islamic Republic, making the current hostility a 'war of choice' by Iran.
Regime Change in Iran Unlikely
- Despite Israeli strikes against Iran, political regime change in Iran seems unlikely given Trump's contradictory signals and Iran's internal dynamics.
- Iranian society's deep-seated resistance and lack of mass protests under bombardment protect the regime's continuity.