The President's Daily Brief PDB Afternoon Bulletin | November 21st, 2025: Secret US Wargame Models Maduro’s Collapse & Trump Threatens Ukraine With Thanksgiving Peace Deadline
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Nov 21, 2025 The discussion kicks off with revelations from a secret war game predicting chaos if Nicolás Maduro falls, highlighting the risks of a power vacuum. U.S. pressure on Venezuela could lead to unintended consequences, potentially allowing nations like Russia, China, and Iran to exploit the situation. Shifting to Ukraine, tensions rise as Trump sets a Thanksgiving deadline for a 28-point peace plan. The proposition includes significant territorial concessions, drawing alarm from European allies worried about its implications for security.
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Post-Maduro Collapse Would Likely Be Chaos
- A Trump-era war game predicted Venezuela's post-Maduro collapse would produce prolonged chaos rather than a tidy transition.
- The exercise warned of cartels, guerrillas, fracturing armed forces, and foreign powers exploiting a vacuum.
U.S. Pressure May Outpace Preparedness
- Current U.S. pressure on Caracas comes amid military deployments, designations, leaks, and diplomatic ultimatums.
- The war game suggests Washington may not be prepared for the messy fallout it risks provoking.
Foreign Powers Would Complicate A Collapse
- The war game included external actors and concluded that Russia, China, and Iran would not sit idle if Washington reshaped Venezuela.
- Those powers have military, intelligence, and financial stakes that would complicate any U.S.-led transition.