2. Follow the AI money: China, the Quad and Southeast Asia
Aug 18, 2023
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Andrew Collier, MD of Orient Capital Research, analyzes reactions to US investment restrictions on China's tech industry. Ngor Luong from Georgetown University explains money flow from China to Southeast Asia and China's aim to become a leader in artificial intelligence.
The Biden administration's investment restrictions on Chinese tech companies pose challenges for China's tech industry in securing necessary technologies and chips, while the impact on American investment in China's semiconductor industry remains uncertain.
Research indicates that China's AI industry receives significant investment from countries within the Quad, but the Biden administration's investment ban may lead to increased investments by Chinese AI companies in Southeast Asia's emerging markets.
Deep dives
US investment restrictions on Chinese tech
The Biden administration has implemented investment restrictions on Chinese tech companies, continuing what was started under Donald Trump's administration. These restrictions aim to limit China's technological development, specifically targeting Chinese companies' access to high-end semiconductor technologies and equipment. Biden's new executive order further restricts US venture capital and private equity stakes in Chinese companies in three specific areas.
Implications for US investors and China's tech industry
The new investment restrictions have generated concerns among US venture capital firms, as they navigate how to conduct business under these new rules. For China's tech industry, the restrictions pose challenges as they strive to secure necessary technologies and chips. The impact of these restrictions on American investment in China's semiconductor industry remains to be seen, as investors may seek exemptions or alternative investment pathways.
Investment dynamics within Quad nations and Southeast Asia
Research shows that China's AI industry attracts significant investment from countries within the Quad, such as Japan, India, and Australia. These nations have more financial ties with China in AI compared to investments among themselves. Additionally, Chinese investment in Southeast Asia's AI sector is increasing, albeit trailing behind US investment. However, the Biden administration's investment ban may affect these nations' investments in China and prompt Chinese AI companies to expand their presence in Southeast Asia's emerging markets.
Andrew Collier, managing director of Orient Capital Research, analyses how the world of investment reacted to the latest US investment restrictions on China’s tech industry, and the options that are left for Beijing as it aims to become the world leader in artificial intelligence. Georgetown University’s CSET research analyst Ngor Luong knows exactly who has been investing in China, and explains why she expects more money to flow from China to Southeast Asia.
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