Bloomberg Surveillance: Markets Shrug Off China Woes
Feb 8, 2024
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China's market rout, Chinese government's priorities and resistance against consumer side stimulus, comparing US and China economies, Disney's streaming business and regulatory risk, 401Ks and investing, national treasure and Apple resale market, the importance of data and addressing global issues
China's deliberate deleveraging of the property sector may result in a significant slowdown of property market growth for the next nine years.
Disney is focusing on the streaming business but faces uncertainty regarding the success of its sports app and regulatory risks surrounding media consolidation and competition.
Deep dives
China's Property Market and Economic Growth
China's government is deliberately deleveraging the property sector to create a more stable and secure economy, focusing on reducing non-performing loans and credit risks. This intentional effort may lead to a significant slowdown in property market growth for the next nine years. While China has talked about shifting from investment to consumption, the incentives for consumption have not significantly improved, impacting the growth of the consumer market. The Chinese government prioritizes national security, creating a chip ecosystem, and finding alternatives to the US dollar payment system, rather than focusing on high levels of GDP growth.
The Future of Disney's Streaming Business
Disney's recent earnings call revealed their focus on the streaming business, announcing new deals and a path to profitability for their streaming services. However, there is uncertainty around their sports app and its potential success. It remains to be seen whether there is a sufficient market of sports enthusiasts who are willing to pay a high monthly fee for the service. The streaming business has become pivotal in the media landscape, and Disney seems determined to go all-in on this segment. However, the regulatory risks surrounding media consolidation and competition could impact their strategies.
Global Temperature Records and Climate Change
Global temperatures in January set a record for being the hottest January on record, continuing a trend of consistently surpassing previous temperature records for eight consecutive months. The European Union Climate Monitor also noted that oceans experienced their hottest January, indicating the impact of warming sea surface temperatures. Climate change and global warming are ongoing concerns, with rising temperatures and changing weather patterns threatening the environment, ecosystems, and human activities worldwide.
Pay-Per-View Super Bowl and Apple's Vision Pro
There have been discussions about introducing a pay-per-view option for the Super Bowl, allowing viewers to pay for exclusive access to watch the game. However, the idea of putting the highly anticipated national event behind a paywall is met with skepticism. Apple's Vision Pro, a high-end augmented reality headset, has created a resale market on Asian marketplaces, with prices as high as $6,300 due to its scarcity. Early adopters and tech enthusiasts are driving demand for this cutting-edge technology.
Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyThursday February 8th, 2024 Featuring:
Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, on China's market rout
Brian Wieser, Madison and Wall Principal on DIS earnings
Chris Ailman, CalSTRS CIO
Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo with her Newspaper Headlines