The ‘Ponzi scheme’ behind Lebanon’s economic collapse
Dec 13, 2023
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Former head of Lebanon's central bank, Riad Salameh, is embroiled in scandal and accusations of embezzlement that contributed to Lebanon's economic collapse. The podcast explores the allegations, investigations, and the role of the political establishment in the crisis. It also discusses the potential consequences of Lebanon's war and the challenges faced in rebuilding the economy.
Lebanon's central bank governor, Riaz Salameh, is facing allegations of fiscal fraud and embezzlement, shedding light on the extent of corruption among government officials.
Lebanon's economic collapse can be attributed to the unsustainable financial engineering under Salameh's tenure, which relied heavily on a pegged exchange rate system, resulting in a high debt-to-GDP ratio and eventual economic depression.
Deep dives
The Economic Crisis and Bribery Allegations
Lebanon's central bank governor, Riaz Salameh, is embroiled in financial allegations, including fiscal fraud and embezzling $330 million of public funds. The timing is significant, as Lebanon was facing an economic crisis while Salameh seemingly had an extravagant lifestyle. The allegations against him highlight the level of corruption in Lebanon's government officials.
Mismanagement of Lebanon's Economy
During Salameh's tenure as governor, Lebanon adopted a pegged exchange rate system that relied heavily on incoming dollars. This decision led to unsustainable financial engineering, using depositor money to pay off government debt. Lebanon's debt-to-GDP ratio grew to one of the highest in the world. When external dollars stopped flowing, Lebanon's economy collapsed, resulting in sky-high inflation, loss of savings, and economic depression.
The Future of Lebanon's Economy
Lebanon's recovery depends on various factors, including the resolution of the regional conflict with Israel and the willingness of its political establishment to enact essential economic and political reforms. If the war escalates, Lebanon's already devastated economy may struggle to attract international aid or investment. The country's long-standing corruption and resistance to reforms further complicate its prospects for recovery.
For years, Riad Salameh was praised for his revolutionary financial policies as head of Lebanon’s central bank. But suddenly, the country plunged into an economic crisis. And Salameh left the central bank with a disgraced reputation and, investigators believe, a massive personal fortune. So what happened? The FT’s Middle East correspondent Raya Jalabi walks us through the storm of allegations Salameh faces, and the decisions he made that economists think sparked the entire crisis.
Clips from Associated Press, CNN, TRT World, DW News, Al Jazeera English, France 24, Asharq News, Annahar News