1/9/25 Lindsey Snell on Syria, the Caucuses and the Recent Triumphs of Al-Qaeda
Jan 11, 2025
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In this engaging discussion, journalist Lindsey Snell, known for her in-depth coverage of crises in the Middle East, shares her insights on the fall of Assad and the rising influence of former Al-Qaeda affiliates in Syria. She critiques mainstream media narratives while discussing the severe impact of sanctions on civilians. Lindsey also unpacks the complex Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict, revealing its historical roots and geopolitical implications, while shedding light on the plight of Christians in Syria under extremist rule.
The fall of Assad's regime in Syria has resulted in the rise of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, leading to continued oppression of citizens.
U.S. foreign policy has paradoxically supported Sunni extremist factions like Al-Qaeda while opposing Shiite influences in the region.
Deep dives
The Shift in Syrian Power Dynamics
The unexpected fall of Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria has led to significant shifts in control, with the former Al-Qaeda affiliate, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), now holding power. Previously supported by Iranian and Russian forces, the Syrian government found itself isolated, particularly after key allies withdrew just prior to this upheaval. The rapid takeover was shocking to many, including opposition forces that had turned into mercenaries under the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army. The absence of timely support from Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia illustrated a complete abandonment of Assad, allowing HTS to seize control in a matter of days.
The Illusion of Popular Support
Critics argue that Assad's regime fell due to a lack of popular support, suggesting that the outcome points to a victory for the 'good guys.' However, it is argued that Assad's reliance on foreign powers, particularly Russia and Iran, rendered him a puppet leader despite his regime's brutality. The transition of power has resulted not in the ascent of a democratic or favorable governance, but rather in a replacement by another oppressive regime. By aligning with HTS, the West may have inadvertently paved the way for a harsher rule in Syria, leaving many citizens vulnerable to the same oppressive tactics as those used by Assad.
Western Interests and Foreign Policy
The podcast discusses how Western powers have played a role in reshaping the Syrian conflict, particularly regarding the relationship with Al-Qaeda factions. Under Obama, there was pressure for the U.S. to support factions that were essentially radical insurgents, akin to supporting the very groups that had previously attacked the U.S. This has led to a bizarre alignment where the U.S. opposes Shiite influence while tacitly supporting Sunni extremist groups. Additionally, the podcast highlights Israel's preference for Al-Qaeda over Shiite factions, illustrating the complex and often contradictory nature of U.S. foreign policy in the region.
The Future of Ethnic and Religious Minorities
With HTS now in power, the future for ethnic and religious minorities in Syria, including Christians and secular Sunni groups, seems precarious. While HTS has initially projected a tolerant image to foster stability and support, historical patterns indicate that such measures may only be temporary. The long-term oppression faced by minorities in other regions, such as Idlib, where they faced violence and discrimination, raises concerns for their safety under HTS rule. As time progresses, the likelihood of increased persecution becomes more probable, mirroring the oppressive tactics previously employed by Assad's government.
Scott had journalist Lindsey Snell on Antiwar Radio this week to talk about the fall of Assad, the ongoing land dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan and the group that now runs Syria.
Lindsey Snell is a journalist covering conflict and crises in the Middle East and North Africa, especially Syria, Iraq, Turkey, and Tunisia. She currently lives in Germany. Follow her on X @LindseySnell