The David Lin Report Labor Market Collapse? What Trump's New Policies Mean For Jobs | Steven Camarota
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Sep 24, 2025 Steven Camarota, Director of Research at the Center for Immigration Studies, delves into immigration policies and their impacts on the labor market. He discusses Trump's new H-1B visa fee hike and how it may reduce the supply of foreign workers, potentially raising wages for American employees. Camarota also highlights the exit of 2.2 million foreign-born workers, questioning how this will affect job availability and GDP. He explores the implications for native labor and future immigration dynamics, especially as technology evolves.
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Big One-Time H-1B Fee
- The H-1B fee change is being rolled out as a one-time $100,000 employer-paid charge to use the visa program.
- Steven Camarota argues the fee will reduce employer use and likely cut lower-skilled H-1B hiring while keeping top talent.
H-1B Not The Sole STEM Engine
- Camarota disputes the idea that H-1B is the backbone of U.S. STEM output and says native-born STEM supply is strong.
- He finds little evidence of broad STEM wage pressure that would indicate a major domestic shortage.
Wage Effects Will Be Uneven
- Fewer H-1B hires could modestly raise tech wages, but STEM fields are a small share of total labor so macro effects may be limited.
- Camarota emphasizes most wage gains would occur at lower-wage occupations if illegal immigration falls.