Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

Bond Traders Boost Bets on Half-Point Fed Rate Cuts by Year-End

5 snips
Sep 17, 2025
Bob Doll, President and CIO at Crossmark Global Investments, and Sean Darby, Managing Director at Mizuho Securities Asia, dive into the pivotal role of the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions on interest rates. They discuss rising bets on potential half-point cuts, bond market reactions, and the impact of economic indicators on investor sentiment. The conversation also touches on the dynamics between bond yields and equity markets, questioning the sustainability of recent growth amid tightening financial conditions.
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INSIGHT

Words Matter More Than The Rate Move

  • The Fed's decision matters less than the language and the press conference that follows.
  • Market reaction will hinge on signals about further cuts and inflation worries.
INSIGHT

High-Risk Bull Market

  • We are in a 'high-risk bull market': the trend is up but valuations are stretched.
  • Earnings have held up, yet jobs and inflation pose real risks to the rally.
ADVICE

Favor Short-Dated Bonds

  • Position bond exposure towards the short end as rates fall and the Fed signals cuts.
  • Favor two-to-five year maturities and avoid long-dated Treasuries beyond 10 years.
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