Frontline special - Military analyst and former NATO planner, Philip Ingram
Jan 5, 2025
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Philip Ingram, a military analyst and former NATO planner, shares his expert insights on the war in Ukraine as it heads into 2025. He delves into the complex geopolitical dynamics, including potential negotiations with Donald Trump and shifting military balances. The discussion highlights Trump’s unpredictable foreign policy and the divided opinions on U.S. military aid to Ukraine. Ingram also assesses the chances of a ceasefire, estimating it at 50-50, and explores the long-term implications for both Russian and Ukrainian forces.
The ongoing war in Ukraine is expected to reach a critical juncture by 2025, potentially influenced by geopolitical alliances and former President Trump's policies.
Analysts emphasize the need for European countries to enhance their defense roles as the Ukraine conflict impacts global trade and energy supplies.
Deep dives
Commitment to Sustainable Sourcing
McDonald's collaborates with over 23,000 farmers in Britain and Ireland to ensure the quality and sustainability of its ingredients. This partnership showcases a strong commitment to supporting local agriculture, particularly with products like their iconic fries made from Norfolk potatoes. The company actively invests in initiatives such as the Sustainable Fries Fund, which is a joint effort with McCain to explore innovative potato growing techniques. This approach allows farmers to experiment with methods that could reduce environmental impacts while maintaining the quality of their crops.
Geopolitical Implications of the Ukraine Conflict
The ongoing war in Ukraine is anticipated to reach a crucial turning point in 2025, with speculations about the possibility of a ceasefire emerging. Analysts observe that while former President Donald Trump's potential re-election could influence negotiations, the complexities of the conflict demand nuanced understanding beyond immediate frontline movements. Russia's economic struggles and tactical decisions are underlined, particularly as Ukraine has targeted Russian infrastructure, which affects supply lines and military capabilities. The geopolitical landscape is also impacted by alliances, with increasing tensions from China and a need for strategic responses from the West.
Future Challenges and Strategic Alliances
The interplay of various international conflicts and their implications for global security strategy are key considerations for the United States and its allies. Experts indicate that Trump's foreign policy may shift focus towards engaging with Europe while managing relations in the Middle East and Southeast Asia. European countries are called to take more responsibility for their defense commitments, especially in light of the consequences of the Ukraine war on global trade and energy supply. This multifaceted approach is likely to reshape alliances and defense strategies in the face of growing global instability.
In this extended Frontline conversation James Hanson speaks to military analyst and former military intelligence officer and NATO planner Philip Ingram MBE about the war in Ukraine and what might be expected in 2025.
The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists.