Simply Bitcoin Did the Federal Reserve Just DESTROY Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle?! Simply Originals
Dec 11, 2025
The Federal Reserve's impending rate cuts could mark a turning point for Bitcoin. The concept of Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is being challenged, as institutional flows take the reins. A Bitcoin-friendly regulatory bill from Cynthia Lummis is gaining momentum. Discussions about the mixed job data and inflation linger, while calls for 'buy the fear' emphasize dollar-cost averaging strategies. The need for the US to print and refinance could propel Bitcoin into a super cycle, hinting at significant changes ahead.
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Powell's Blindfolded Rate Decision
- Jerome Powell's likely rate cut is historic because it's being decided without recent jobs data due to a shutdown.
- The Fed is effectively 'driving with no dashboard,' making the tone more consequential than the cut itself.
Lummis Racing A Bitcoin Bill Through Congress
- Senator Cynthia Lummis is fast-tracking a Bitcoin market structure bill with bipartisan support.
- The bill aims to resolve CFTC/SEC jurisdiction and enable a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve quickly.
The Four‑Year Cycle May Be Dead
- The traditional four-year Bitcoin halving-driven cycle may be breaking as institutional flows change price dynamics.
- Declining volatility and institutional treasuries reduce the old 75–90% drawdown pattern.