

A Primer On Prediction Markets With Robin Hanson
Jul 13, 2018
Robin Hanson, associate professor of economics at George Mason University, explains how prediction markets work and their wide variety of applications. They discuss the barriers to widespread adoption, the potential pitfalls, and the benefits of decision-making based on prediction markets. The chapter descriptions cover topics such as utilizing prediction markets for decision making, prediction markets in healthcare and politics, popularizing prediction markets and their impact on political discussions, addressing sabotage in forecasting institutions, and the challenges of implementing radical honesty.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
Utilizing Prediction Markets for Decision Making and Outcome Measurement
02:34 • 10min
The Disconnect Between Valuing Truth and Seeking Information
12:26 • 2min
Prediction Markets in Healthcare and Politics
14:37 • 6min
Popularizing Prediction Markets and Their Impact on Political Discussions
20:12 • 23min
Addressing Sabotage in Forecasting Institutions
43:26 • 3min
The Challenges of Implementing Radical Honesty
46:31 • 18min