Assassination Attempt and A Changing World || Peter Zeihan
Jul 15, 2024
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Geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan discusses the attempted assassination of Donald Trump in the context of broader political and economic shifts. Topics include realigning political support in the US, economic reordering post-WWII, and societal changes due to declining birth rates and urbanization.
Changing demographics are reshaping political coalitions in America.
Global economic shifts are challenging post-World War II international consensus.
Deep dives
Political Coalition Evolution in America
The political landscape in America is undergoing a significant transformation with the evolution of political coalitions. Traditionally, the Republican Party included factions focused on budget deficit, national security, and business regulation. However, as demographics and economic patterns change, these factions are shifting within the party. While some groups like the business community have been sidelined, Donald Trump has attracted voters like union members and Hispanics away from the Democratic coalition, causing a reconfiguration of political alliances.
Global Economic Shifts and Political Unrest
Internationally, the post-World War II global consensus is faltering as the American role in maintaining global security and economic openness diminishes. Economic developments, including urbanization and declining birth rates, are reshaping workforce dynamics, impacting global trade patterns. These changes are leading to uncertainty and unrest as established systems evolve, potentially resulting in domestic and international conflicts as countries adapt to the shifting geopolitical and economic landscape.
On Saturday, July 13, there was an attempted assassination of Donald Trump. I'm not here to give you the play-by-play that you can get from the news, instead I want to put this incident into context of the broader political and economic shifts.