Day 627 - Trump announces Israel-Iran ceasefire. Will it stick?

12 snips

Jun 24, 2025

Lazar Berman, a diplomatic reporter for The Times of Israel, unpacks the complex ceasefire announcement between Israel and Iran. He delves into the Iranian missile attacks on a U.S. base in Qatar, revealing Iran's strategic maneuvers to avoid escalation. Berman discusses Israel's targeted airstrikes on key Iranian sites, aiming to diminish threats while navigating the hostilities. The conversation explores the volatile dynamics of military actions and the intricate dance of diplomacy, underscoring the ongoing challenges in achieving lasting peace.

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INSIGHT

Iran's Conflicting Ceasefire Actions

Iranian missile attacks after the ceasefire announcement might indicate internal faction conflicts or communication breakdowns.
Iran's continued missile fire challenges the stability of the announced ceasefire and prompts Israeli retaliation.

INSIGHT

Reluctance to Appear Weak in Ceasefire

Both Israel and Iran hesitate to publicly appear as the side conceding by initiating the ceasefire.
The ceasefire rollout was awkward, with Iran vaguely committing and Israel confirming only hours later.

INSIGHT

Qatar Base Strike Sends Message

Iran's missile strike on the Qatari-US base was likely a symbolic warning rather than an effort to escalate.
This attack aimed to convey a message but was designed to avoid further conflict.

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Welcome to The Times of Israel's Daily Briefing, your 20-minute audio update on what's happening in Israel, the Middle East and the Jewish world.

Diplomatic reporter Lazar Berman joins host Amanda Borschel-Dan for today's episode.

Hours after Iran attempted to strike a US military base in Qatar in retaliation for the US strike on its nuclear sites, US President Donald Trump announced overnight Monday-Tuesday that Israel and Iran agreed to a “complete and total ceasefire” which would bring about an end to the conflict. However, hours after both sides confirmed that the truce was taking effect, Iran shot another barrage at Israel -- the seventh of the morning. At recording time, Defense Minister Israel Katz has ordered the IDF to retaliate with force. A pre-ceasefire attack earlier Tuesday hit a Beersheba apartment building, killing four people.

We delve into the Iranian missile attack on a major US airbase in Qatar on Monday evening. Qatari and US officials said no casualties or injuries were sustained in the attack, and Iran reportedly warned Doha in advance, signaling its likely intent to avoid a further escalation. Qatar said Iran fired 19 missiles at the base, one of which hit. Berman weighs in.

Earlier on Monday, Israeli airstrikes targeted key assets and symbols of the Iranian regime in Tehran, including facilities belonging to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the Evin Prison for political prisoners, and the “Destruction of Israel” countdown clock. What was Israel attempting to accomplish here?

As a ceasefire between Israel and Iran was coming into effect, IDF Spokesman Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin said “the IDF fully met all of [the] objectives” it had set ahead of the war. But did it?

The Hostage and Missing Families Forum released a statement saying that ending the military operation against Iran without taking the opportunity to secure the release of the hostages held in Gaza would be a “grave diplomatic failure.” Berman explains why linking the Iran ceasefire with a Gaza ceasefire is highly unlikely.

Check out The Times of Israel's ongoing liveblog for more updates.

For further reading:

Trump says Israel and Iran agreed to ‘complete and total ceasefire,’ ending '12 Day War’

Iran fires missiles at American base in Qatar in retaliation for US strikes; none hurt

In Tehran, IDF strikes IRGC sites, gate of Evin Prison, ‘Destruction of Israel’ clock

Subscribe to The Times of Israel Daily Briefing on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts. This episode was produced by the Pod-Waves.

IMAGE: The remains of a ballistic missile fired from Iran into the Golan Heights, northern Israel, June 23, 2025. (Michael Giladi/Flash90)

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