

Why good weather isn’t to blame for small boat crossings
Jun 3, 2025
Ali Fortescue, Sky News' political correspondent, joins the conversation to unravel the complexities behind small boat crossings. Contrary to government claims, data shows these crossings surge even in bad weather, revealing smuggler tactics at play. The discussion also highlights the alarming rise in overcrowded boats since 2020 and the unintended consequences of immigration policies. As officials clash over solutions, Fortescue navigates the intricate debates shaping the UK's response to these migration challenges.
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Good and Bad Weather Impact
- Good weather increases people crossing the English Channel, but it is not the sole cause of record numbers this year.
- There is also a significant rise in crossings during poor weather conditions, highlighting other factors at play.
Smugglers Defy Bad Weather
- Smugglers adapt tactics with more crossings even in bad weather conditions, doubling the numbers on poor weather days.
- Weather alone does not explain the rise; the data shows people take significant risks regardless of conditions.
Increased Overcrowding on Boats
- Migrants per boat have quadrupled since 2020, with up to 60 people on boats designed for 15.
- Smugglers maximize overcrowding to transport as many as possible despite the increased danger.