David Zipper, a senior fellow at the MIT Mobility Initiative and an expert in urban planning, discusses the alarming trend of 'car bloat' in North America. He explains how SUVs and pickup trucks dominate new car sales, raising safety concerns for pedestrians and other drivers. Zipper highlights the fiscal burden of larger vehicles and contrasts them with Japan's efficient K cars. The conversation sheds light on the emotional and financial implications behind consumer preferences, as well as potential solutions to tackle this growing problem.
The phenomenon of 'car bloat' illustrates the alarming trend of oversized vehicles dominating sales, significantly impacting safety for pedestrians and smaller car occupants.
Consumer demand and regulatory incentives for larger vehicles create a market environment where automakers profit, despite environmental and safety concerns associated with these trends.
Deep dives
The Rise of Oversized Vehicles
The trend of oversized vehicles, particularly SUVs and pickup trucks, has escalated significantly, with these models constituting over 80% of new cars sold in North America. The phenomenon termed 'car bloat' is characterized by not only the replacement of sedans with larger models but also the increasing size of these vehicles over time. For instance, the Ford F-150, a popular pickup truck, is now 800 pounds heavier and seven inches taller than it was three decades ago. This shift reflects changing consumer preferences, though it is also influenced by automaker marketing efforts that promote larger vehicles as desirable.
Safety and Social Implications of Car Bloat
The growing size of vehicles poses significant safety concerns for pedestrians, cyclists, and occupants of smaller cars. Larger vehicles exert more force in collisions, leading to a stark imbalance in safety where one life may be saved for every 12 lost among those in smaller cars during crashes. Moreover, taller vehicles increase the likelihood of severe injuries to pedestrians by striking them at higher points on the body. The rise in pedestrian and cyclist fatalities, which hit a 40-year high in the U.S., indicates a troubling correlation with the increase in vehicle size, particularly as SUVs and trucks dominate the streets.
Economic Factors and Regulatory Challenges
The market trend towards larger vehicles is driven not only by consumer demand but also by the profitability of these models for automakers. The average price of new cars has reached around $48,000, limiting access for many buyers and pushing them toward larger, more expensive options. Additionally, regulatory frameworks in North America incentivize the manufacture and purchase of oversized vehicles, such as tax deductions for vehicles over 6,000 pounds. Despite environmental and safety downsides associated with car bloat, attempts to implement weight-based fees or promote smaller cars face resistance from both industry lobbying and cultural ties to larger vehicles.
SUVs and pickup trucks make up more than four out of every five new cars sold in the U.S., and in Canada, they represented 86 per cent of all vehicles sold in May of last year.
Lots of these vehicles bill themselves as “safe,” but safe for who? The drivers and passengers? Or everyone else?
David Zipper, a senior fellow at the MIT Mobility Initiative and a contributing writer at Vox and Bloomberg CityLab, has coined the term “car bloat” to describe the ever-expanding size of the average automobile.
He joins the show to talk about the enormous problems these cars are causing, how they got to be so huge, and whether the trend will continue.