Ukraine: The Latest Ukrainian strikes push Russia to brink of oil catastrophe
Aug 26, 2025
In this engaging conversation, James Kilner, a Foreign Correspondent with expertise in the Caucasus and Central Asia, discusses the significant impact of Ukrainian strikes that have slashed Russian oil production by a million barrels daily. He also analyzes the diplomatic tensions, including Trump's remarks on Putin's aversion to Zelensky, and China's potential involvement in peacekeeping. Additionally, Kilner comments on cultural controversies like the backlash against Anna Netrebko and the complexities surrounding Russian sports amidst international sanctions.
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Energy Strikes Near Economic Tipping Point
- Ukrainian long-range strikes are sharply degrading Russian oil refining capacity and domestic fuel supply.
- Disrupting a few more refineries could push Russia below a critical 75% capacity threshold and damage its economy.
Use Air Activity As A Threat Meter
- Watch for changes in Russian air operations as a signal of Kremlin concern over energy strikes.
- Expect riskier fighter/bomber patrols and heavier bombing if Moscow tries to blunt long-range drone threats.
Field Precision, Cost-Effective Munitions
- Prioritise acquiring precise, low-cost long-range munitions for strategic strikes.
- Fielding ERAM-type glide missiles with ~10m CEP provides manoeuvrable, accurate strikes at affordable cost.