Join Jim Sannes from FanDuel, an expert in quarterback evaluation, as he breaks down the latest NFL Draft quarterback class. Discover if Cam Ward truly deserves the top spot and delve into the potential of Shedeur Sanders as a top-five pick. Sannes shares insights from his unique quarterback model, discussing performance metrics and the critical role of age and experience. The analysis extends to Jalen Milrow's fantasy potential and much more, offering a thrilling glimpse into the future of these talented prospects.
Jim Sannes' quarterback prospecting model emphasizes youth and efficiency, correlating high rankings with future NFL success despite overall class weakness.
Jackson Dart is rated as the top quarterback prospect by Sannes due to his extensive playing experience and efficiency, contrasting with skepticism around Shador Sanders.
Deep dives
Jim Sonnis' Quarterback Evaluation Model
A key focus of the discussion is Jim Sonnis' quarterback prospecting model, which comprises both pre-draft and post-draft evaluations. The pre-draft model emphasizes players' age, experience, and efficiency, deliberately excluding draft capital to better assess talent. This model has demonstrated a correlation between high rankings and future success, with first-round picks who rank in the top 10 of the model having a significantly higher success rate. Successful quarterbacks often possess a combination of being young, efficient, and experienced, with few prospects checking all three boxes.
Analyzing This Year’s Quarterback Class
The current quarterback class is evaluated to be weaker compared to previous years, with overall rankings suggesting a scarcity of top talent. Jim Sonnis rates the class at around two and a half out of 10, indicating that only a couple of players rank high enough to be considered potential superstars. The established prospects, such as Cam Ward and Jackson Dart, are noted for being significantly better than the average; however, there is general uncertainty and skepticism surrounding the depth of talent across the board. While Dart ranks highest according to the model, the community perception of this year's class varies dramatically.
Profile of Jackson Dart
Jackson Dart emerges as a surprising top quarterback according to Jim's model, though many analysts might favor Cam Ward. Dart stands out due to a collegiate career characterized by extensive playing time and high efficiency, checking multiple critical boxes for successful quarterback transitions. He fits the historical pattern of young quarterbacks who have been successful, suggesting he could be a meaningful contributor at the professional level. Despite facing skepticism about transitioning from a specific college offensive system, Dart’s overall statistics position him favorably among peers.
Concerns Surrounding Shador Sanders
Shador Sanders is identified as being all over the board in rankings but is hindered by significant concerns in his analytical profile. Notable issues include his tendency to take sacks and lack of rushing ability, which could limit his effectiveness in the NFL. Although he is recognized for his passing skills, his profile suggests he has plenty of room for improvement in critical areas like rushing efficiency and decision-making under pressure. Jim's evaluation indicates that while Sanders has the potential to succeed, he must address these weaknesses to rise above mediocrity in the league.
JJ sits down with FanDuel's Jim Sannes to preview this year's quarterback class. Is Cam Ward the obvious QB1? Should Shedeur Sanders go in the top-five? Which quarterback does Sannes' model adore? You get those answers -- and more -- on Episode 982.
Order the Late-Round Prospect Guide on LateRound.com, and make sure to sign up for the free newsletter.
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