UNCHAINED: Bitcoin's Price Dropped After Iran's Attack on Israel. Is ‘Uptober’ Canceled?
Oct 4, 2024
auto_awesome
André Dragosch, European Head of Research at Bitwise, dives into Bitcoin's market responses amidst rising geopolitical tensions. He discusses how historical events, like Iran's missile attack on Israel, affect Bitcoin's price and the potential buying opportunities that arise. André also examines Bitcoin's evolving role as a safe haven asset compared to gold, the impact of ETFs on market stability, and predicts Bitcoin's performance in light of upcoming U.S. elections. It's a thought-provoking look at crypto in turbulent times!
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to short-term Bitcoin sell-offs, but historical trends suggest potential buying opportunities for long-term investors.
The upcoming U.S. presidential election could significantly influence Bitcoin's price, with different candidates potentially impacting market sentiment and volatility.
Deep dives
Introduction of Bluehost Cloud Hosting
Bluehost Cloud offers an ultra-fast WordPress hosting solution designed specifically for WordPress creators. The service guarantees 100% uptime, ensuring that websites remain accessible regardless of traffic spikes. With rapid load times, it aims to provide users with unmatched speed and performance. The hosting plan includes 24/7 WordPress priority support, automatic daily backups, and robust security features, making it a complete package for website owners.
Impact of Geopolitical Events on Bitcoin Prices
The recent escalation of geopolitical tensions, such as missile launches in the Middle East, led to unexpected short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. During these crises, Bitcoin experienced a sell-off, contrasting with traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which saw inflows. Historically, Bitcoin tends to perform poorly immediately following major geopolitical events but shows significant recovery afterward. This pattern suggests that such events may present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Bitcoin's Transition Towards Safe Haven Asset
Bitcoin's volatility is decreasing over time, drawing comparisons to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. While Bitcoin is still considered volatile, its realized volatility has been trending downward with each halving period. This trend indicates a potential for Bitcoin to transition into a safe haven, despite its current status as a speculative asset. As institutional interest grows, particularly with the introduction of ETFs, Bitcoin's behavior may become more stable, ultimately enhancing its appeal as a store of value.
Influence of U.S. Presidential Election on Bitcoin's Value
The upcoming U.S. presidential election is predicted to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price action, with different candidates potentially influencing market sentiment. Historical data indicates that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets respond positively to Trump’s increasing odds in polls, correlating with heightened performance. Trump's strategy may include pro-crypto regulatory changes, raising expectations among investors. This heightened political interest could lead to greater volatility and movements in Bitcoin prices in the lead-up to and following the election.
With geopolitical tensions rising in the Middle East, how does Bitcoin react to global risk events? And is ‘Uptober’ still on the table?
October started with hopes for “Uptober”—a positive price trajectory in October—in the Bitcoin community, since, historically, Bitcoin has performed well this month. But things took a turn when geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated, raising concerns about how that could affect Bitcoin’s price this month.
In this episode, André Dragosch, European Head of Research at Bitwise, talks about how Bitcoin typically responds to geopolitical shocks, whether this could present a buying opportunity, and how major events like the U.S. elections might shape Bitcoin’s future.
Show highlights:
How Bitcoin’s reacted to the geopolitical escalations
Why André believes this is a buying opportunity
How there was a macro capitulation after the beginning of the unwind of the Japan carry trade in August
Whether Bitcoin can truly act as a safe haven asset
How the clientele of ETFs have changed the market structure for Bitcoin
Whether ‘Uptober’ is canceled
How Andre expects Bitcoin will perform depending on the winner of the U.S. elections
Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com