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Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio manager in Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation Team, joins us to discuss the most important questions he and his team mates, David Wolf and David Tulk have been fielding at the start of 2024. We delve into the unexpected shifts in monetary policy led by the Federal Reserve and mull over the repercussions of potential rate cuts on inflation volatility, weaving through the intricacies of the Fed's data-driven stance and 'pivot' toward a less restrictive monetary environment.
In the context of historical reflections and economic projections, Kolet elaborates on the team’s optimism regarding the US market, supported by a belief in a productivity boom that dallies with the possibility of economic prosperity, low inflation, and equity strength. We get into Canadian fiscal policy, where Kolet voices concerns about Canada's macroeconomy potentially trailing in equities and fixed income, and how the team is allocating to Canada. Kolet sheds light on the team’s investment strategy, from high-conviction underweights and overweights to the complexities and nuances of handling asset allocation.
Throughout the episode, it's clear that the core of the discussion isn't merely the transactional aspects of investment but relates to the broader challenges advisors face when reconciling market complexities with client needs. The episode provides Fidelity's highest conviction global asset allocation guidance through the labyrinth of 2024's financial mixed and uncertain landscape.