Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Links For January 2025

Feb 4, 2025
Delve into the complexities of running for Congress and the Monty Hall problem with an unexpected twist. Explore ethical dilemmas in prescription practices and the societal implications of psychiatric diagnoses. Discover a quirky historical tale combined with discussions on weight-loss drugs and AI's environmental myths. Navigate the challenges of religious pluralism in a changing political landscape. Finally, reflect on shifting ideologies and minimalist architecture in today's socio-political climate.
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ADVICE

Running for Congress Considerations

  • Running for Congress is financially and personally demanding, requiring significant upfront costs and time commitment.
  • Consider the financial burdens and career disruption before pursuing a congressional seat.
ANECDOTE

Monty Hall Goat Puzzle

  • Scott Alexander discusses a Monty Hall problem variant involving a valuable goat.
  • The puzzle explores decision-making when one option has hidden, significantly higher value.
INSIGHT

Concerns About AI Progress Bet

  • Scott Alexander expresses concern that Gary Marcus's AI progress bet is framed too narrowly.
  • Even if AI achieves significant milestones, Marcus might claim victory despite rapid AI advancements.
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