The podcast explores the impact of heavy-handed government approaches to trade and regulation, skepticism towards government intervention, and the unrealistic nature of the new right's support for industrial policy and antitrust regulation. It also discusses the fallacy of political gaming in free market and interventionist policies, highlighting how only interventionist policies maintain or expand the government's role in the economy.
Mainstream economic measures fail to account for methodological issues and ignore historical evidence.
Free market fundamentalists are detached from the realities faced by everyday Americans, and the American population craves a more interventionist approach.
Deep dives
The New Right's Critique of Traditional Economic Measures
The podcast discusses Oren Cass's critique of traditional economic measures, such as inflation metrics and trade deficit calculations. Cass argues that these measures are flawed and fail to account for methodological issues. He asserts that mainstream views on tariffs and industrial policy are misguided and do not consider historical evidence. Cass contends that the new right, which includes politicians like JD Vance and Josh Hawley, believes that free market fundamentalists are detached from the realities faced by everyday Americans.
The Disconnect Between Free Market Fundamentalists and Political Reality
The podcast highlights the second argument put forth by Oren Cass, which is that free market fundamentalists, like those from the old Republican Party, are out of touch with the political reality of today's America. Cass states that their heavy emphasis on free trade and GDP growth ignores the real harms that these policies can pose, such as job loss and factory closures. He claims that the majority of the American population craves a more interventionist approach that includes increased spending and regulation. Cass argues that free market policies are politically deficient and do not reflect the current desires of the country.
The Perils of Industrial Policy and the Fallacy of Permanent Majority
The podcast explores the dangers of implementing industrial policy and the fallacy of assuming a permanent majority. It highlights how these policies can be manipulated and implemented differently by political adversaries. The podcast cites examples of how laws can be interpreted and applied in ways that were not originally intended, resulting in policies that contradict the initial objectives. It argues that a free market approach, despite requiring political processes, has less potential for political malfeasance and allows for a more balanced and less susceptible system.
Political reality demands that we recognize that any power we might claim for ourselves will ultimately be wielded by our ideological opponents. Scott Lincicome explains how that lesson is being learned the hard way yet again.