The Market Call - Week Ending 11th April 2025

This week, Progressive's Jeremy McKeown and Gareth Evans talk less about tariffs and more about their impact on capital markets - bonds in particular.

Jeremy makes the point that the USA is now experiencing a Brexit AND "Liz Truss" moment at the same time - resulting in a falling dollar and rising rates.  Keep an eye on those two, and the gold price, and you have three metrics which give dashboard of the current situation - and level of trust in the US administration.

While Trump's economic guns are all trained on China, Scott Bessent is on his way to Japan - a major owner and buyer of US treasuries....remember the carry trade unwind panic of mid-last year...?

Closer to home, we hope that the UK is next on Bessent's list, with a trade deal in the offing.  Small-cap news was from Nexus Infrastructure, Beeks and SDI Group.

Big data next week includes China GDP (required to be c.5%), UK inflation for March, US retail sales and hopefully a rate-cut from the European Central Bank.