"Upstream" with Erik Torenberg

E128: US-Europe Relations, How Japan Can Strengthen The Yen, and Predicting AI’s Growth Effects w/ Noah Smith

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Mar 23, 2025
Noah Smith, an economist and writer known for his sharp insights on economic trends, joins the discussion. He tackles the shifting dynamics of US-Europe relations and the implications of America's reduced commitment. Smith also explores how Japan can strengthen the yen, proposing a potential renewed Plaza Accord with the U.S. Further, he tempers expectations on AI's economic impact, analyzing challenges in productivity forecasting and government spending's role in GDP measurement. Insightful and provocative, his views illuminate today's complex geopolitical landscape.
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INSIGHT

US-Europe Relations

  • Post-WWII, superpowers positioned European countries as frontline proxies in the Cold War.
  • This fostered European dependence on the US, particularly for defense, a dynamic now shifting.
INSIGHT

Burden Sharing

  • The US bore a disproportionate burden in containing Russia, thus feeling taken advantage of by Europe.
  • However, abandoning this role also means losing the associated benefits of supporting freedom and democracy.
INSIGHT

China's Shift in Globalization Strategy

  • China's Belt and Road Initiative, focused on infrastructure, has largely failed.
  • They are shifting to a more traditional globalization strategy, similar to past US approaches.
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