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CSaP: The Science & Policy Podcast

Science, Policy & a Green Recovery: The Economics of a Green Recovery

Oct 16, 2020
University of Cambridge economists Dr Kamiar Mohaddes and Dr Nina Seega discuss the macroeconomic shock from the COVID-19 pandemic, the current trajectory of recovery investments, and how policymakers can respond to the need to invest to meet climate change commitments. They explore forecasted impacts of the pandemic on the global economy, challenges and opportunities for investing in a green economy, the economic costs of climate change, and messages for policymakers on prioritizing a green recovery.
30:35

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Quick takeaways

  • The COVID-19 pandemic will have varying impacts on different economies, necessitating comprehensive and coordinated cross-country responses to manage risks and meet climate change commitments.
  • A green recovery is essential to avoid future crises, and policymakers should prioritize clear policy interventions, recovery funding tied to sustainable targets, and the creation of green jobs.

Deep dives

Macroeconomic shock from the COVID pandemic and its implications for a green recovery

The podcast episode discusses the macroeconomic shock caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and its relationship to arguments for investment in a green recovery. The analysis of the shock was based on IMF forecast revisions, examining the specific impacts on different countries. The researchers found that the pandemic would reduce real GDP by around 3% globally, with varying impacts on different economies. While China and other emerging Asian economies are expected to be less affected, the US, the UK, and several advanced economies will experience deeper and longer-lasting effects. It was also highlighted that no country is immune to the economic fallout of the pandemic due to global interconnections. The researchers suggested that policymakers need to manage the risks and understand the importance of comprehensive and coordinated cross-country responses to both the pandemic and future climate change-related risks.

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